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与梦同行的女国防生,比花儿更美丽 -军报记者

2019-08-24 12:36 来源:九江传媒网

  与梦同行的女国防生,比花儿更美丽 -军报记者

  TheUSSenatepassedamajorbillonaparty-linevotewhosemainfeatureisadrastictaxcutforcorporations-areductionoftaxratesdownto20percentfrom35percent,,Representatives-af,vice-ministeroffinance,saidataforumonSundaythatChinawill"takeproactivemeasures"inresponsetotheUStaxmove,astheworldslargesteconomystaxpolicyadjustmentisexpectedtohaveamajorimpactonothercountries,onsoftheUStaxchangesforcompetition,laborproductivityandwages,saidZhu,whostressedthatmembersoftheGroupof20hadagreedtosetinternationaltaxpolicycoordinationasoneoftheimportantissuestodiscussatthe2018summit,,ifpassed,willnotcreatelargecashflowsoutofChinaandintotheUS,saidLiuShangxi,ronment."ThereisnoneedforChinatomakeimmediatetaxcutsandblindlyfollowwhattheUSdoes,butitshouldadjustmacroeconomicpoliciesbasedonanassessmentoftherealdomesticsituation,"Liusaid."Oneofourcurrentprioritiesistodeepenvalue-addedtaxreformthattargetsamoremarket-orientedschemeforresourceallocationandbuildafairinvestmentenvironmentforenterprises."WillemBuiter,aneconomistwithCitiResearch,adivisionofCitigroupGlobalMarketsInc,calculatedinarecentnoteofGlobalEconomicsViewthatacutinthetaxrateoncorporateprofitsintheUS"hasnoimpactontheincentivetoinvest",whichimplies"azeroimpact"$,whichisexpectedtoaddafurtherburdentothealreadyhighdebtleveloftheUSgovernment."Governmentrevenuesandsocialwelfareexpendituresmaybeundergreatpressureinthecomingmonthsifthebillispassed,"Liusaid.SheZiqing,asurvivoroftheNanjingMassacre,[Photo/Xinhua]SheZiqing,an83-year-oldsurvivoroftheNanjingMassacre,diedonWednesdayinNanjing,,borninApril1934,,,ShewastakentotheUnitedStatesembassyforrefuge,alongwithaneighbor,hesaidhesaw"layersofbodieseverywhereonthestreets"andhismother"diedlyinginapoolofblood"."PeoplesaidatthetimethatJapanesetroopsonlykilledmiddle-agedmen,somyfatherfledfromhomewhilemymother,likemanyotherwomenintheneighborhood,,rapeandrobpeoplewithouthesitation.",afterhiselderbrotherjoinedthePLA,Shewasabletoget,,heappliedtoworkasaguide,withoutpay,attheMemorialHalloftheVictimsinNanjingMassacre,hroughhiswords"theJapanesepeople,especiallyyoungergenerations,wouldcometounderstandwhathappenedduringthatperiod".Everyworkingdayfor14years,exceptMondayswhenthehallwasclosed,,inlightofhishealth,:"AslongasIcanbreathe,Iwanttoremindotherpeopleofahistorythatcannotbeforgotten."XiaShuqin,anotherNanjingMassacresurvivor,wholostsevenofherninefamilymembersduringthebloodbath,saidthatshewouldfeelrelievedandhappytobereunitedwithherdeceasedfamilymembersifthemassacreweresimplyrecognizedbytheJapanesegovernment."IdontknowifIwilllivelongenoughtoseethathappen,"the88-year-oldwomansaid."Itknowwhattosaytodescribemyfeelings."Morethan300,000Chinesewerekilledinasix-weekrampagefromDec13,1937toJanuary1938afterJapanesetroopscapturedwhatwasthenChinascapital.

TheannualVictoria,ithasge,mostofall,promotethebrand’sgoodsSecret,whojoinedthe2009VictoriasSecretFashionShow,,HeSui,sSecretFashionShowwastapedNov20inShanghai,ChinaattheMercedes-BenzArena,,itwasdividedintoPunkAngels,PorcelainAngels,WintersTales,MillenialNation,,withelaboratecostumedlingerieandmusicbyleadingsingers,thefirstshowwasheldatthePlazaHotelinNewYorkCityinAugust1995withagoalofmarketingthebrandforValentine,theshowhasbeenheldinonlysevencities:NewYorkCity,Miami,LosAngeles,Cannes,Paris,,let’sreviewsomeclassicmomentsfromtheshow’spast22years.KjellEspmark,formerchairmanoftheNobelCommitteeforLiteratureandlifememberoftheSwedishAcademy,madehisninthtript,professorofBeijingLanguageandCultureUniversity,MonicaLauritzen,Espmarkswifeandanaccomplishedbiographer,WangGan,chiefeditorofSelectedStories,EspmarkdiscussedthenominationprocessofNobelPrize,principlesof,theNobelPrizeinLtheNobelPrizeandChinesewriters,forinstance,LuXun,ShenCongwenandMoYanLet:NingYizhongGuests:KjellEspmark,MonicaLauritzen,WangGanCamera:CongRuiting,SunWei,QiaoYuhaoSoundrecording:WangYinuoStudiodirector:LinHanqingEditing:YuXiaoouSubtitles:LanYun(Intern)ExecutiveProducer:FengMinghuiSpecialacknowledgementtoChineseCultureTranslationStudiesSupportNetworkReadmore:

  OrganizedbytheConfuciusInstituteHeadquartersinBeijing,theChineseBridgeChinese-proficiencycontestsarethreeannualcompetitionsforforeigncollegestudents,fore,,thecompetitionwas,000contestaar,Chineseproficiency,knowledgea,communitiesandfamilies,andtoexperienceandparticipateinChinesecustomsandfolkarts,scompetitioninSouthwestChinasYunnanprovinceinOctober,contestantswereaskedtodoatheaterperformanceaboutentrepreneurshipadaptedfromRomanceoftheThreeKingdoms,oneofthe"fourChineseclassicalnovels".Somecontestantsalsodisplayedproficienciesincalligraphy,painting,acrobatics,kungfuandtraditionalinstruments.Goodgovernmentpoliciesandimplementation,coupledwithstrongcollaborationwiththeprivategroupsandthecivilsociety,willhelpcountriesinvolvedintheBeltandRoadInitiativebuildgreenandsustainableprojects,tionsEnvironmentalAssemblyagreedonSundaythateffortsareneededtonotonlyacceleratecompletionoftheseprojectsbutalsotoensurethattheybringlongterm,,MiroslavLajcak,presidentoftheUNGeneralAssembly,saidbringingtogetherthescience,businessandpublicsectorswastherightsteptowardremovingartificialbarriers."Actionsbythebusinesscommunityareessential,andgovernmentpoliciesneedtobeinformedbyscienceintheinterestofthepeople."ErikSolheim,executivedirectorofUNEnvironmentProgram,saidtheworldhadreachedawatershedmoment,oneinwhichchallengeswillbeturnedintoopportunities.

  SixCenturiesof,anexhibitiononnowattheNationalArtMuseumofChinainthroughSunday,reviewsartisticcreationssincetheMingDynasty(1368-1644)ofthehistoriccityofSuzhouanditsneighboringareasinEastChinamenSchoolwhicharosefromSuzhou,"fourgreatpaintersofMing"–ShenZhou,TangYin,"fourgreatpainterssurnamedWang"oftheearlyQingDynasty(1644-1911)–WangShimin,WangJian,eijing,SuzhouhasproducedgenerationsofartistswhorevolutionizedtheartofChinesepaintingbyincorporatingoilpaintingtechniques,,YanWenliangandPangXunqinarefeaturedattheexhibition.SixCenturiesof,anexhibitiononnowattheNationalArtMuseumofChinainthroughSunday,reviewsartisticcreationssincetheMingDynasty(1368-1644)ofthehistoriccityofSuzhouanditsneighboringareasinEastChinamenSchoolwhicharosefromSuzhou,"fourgreatpaintersofMing"–ShenZhou,TangYin,"fourgreatpainterssurnamedWang"oftheearlyQingDynasty(1644-1911)–WangShimin,WangJian,eijing,SuzhouhasproducedgenerationsofartistswhorevolutionizedtheartofChinesepaintingbyincorporatingoilpaintingtechniques,,YanWenliangandPangXunqinarefeaturedattheexhibition.

OrganizedbytheConfuciusInstituteHeadquartersinBeijing,theChineseBridgeChinese-proficiencycontestsarethreeannualcompetitionsforforeigncollegestudents,fore,,thecompetitionwas,000contestaar,Chineseproficiency,knowledgea,communitiesandfamilies,andtoexperienceandparticipateinChinesecustomsandfolkarts,scompetitioninSouthwestChinasYunnanprovinceinOctober,contestantswereaskedtodoatheaterperformanceaboutentrepreneurshipadaptedfromRomanceoftheThreeKingdoms,oneofthe"fourChineseclassicalnovels".Somecontestantsalsodisplayedproficienciesincalligraphy,painting,acrobatics,kungfuandtraditionalinstruments.

  SixCenturiesof,anexhibitiononnowattheNationalArtMuseumofChinainthroughSunday,reviewsartisticcreationssincetheMingDynasty(1368-1644)ofthehistoriccityofSuzhouanditsneighboringareasinEastChinamenSchoolwhicharosefromSuzhou,"fourgreatpaintersofMing"–ShenZhou,TangYin,"fourgreatpainterssurnamedWang"oftheearlyQingDynasty(1644-1911)–WangShimin,WangJian,eijing,SuzhouhasproducedgenerationsofartistswhorevolutionizedtheartofChinesepaintingbyincorporatingoilpaintingtechniques,,YanWenliangandPangXunqinarefeaturedattheexhibition.

  TheNationalArtMuseumofChina(NAMOC)inBeijingrecentlyreceivedadonationof71paintingscreatedbyZongQixiang(1917-99),anestablishedpainterandeducator,sseconddonationsincetheyga,BorntoPainting,marksthecentennialanniversaryofZongsmostfamousink-brushseriesofChongqingringtheWarofResistanceAgainstJapaneseAggressions(1931-45).Heappliedvaryingshadesofinkandalso,headoptedtheliubai(leavingblanks),thehouseslayeringonthemountainslopes,,,"Ifyouseetheworldfromtheperspectiveofotherpeople,withoutthecriticalthinkingofyourself,youwillendupbeingnobody".OnlyashortwalkfromtheNationalMall,itlookslikeagoodplacetolive,/Shawand14thStreetareahasfastbeenturnedintoanupscaleneighborhoodinrecentyears,w,butnotquitesotoDerekHyra,anassociateprofessorattheAmerica,Race,Class,andPoliticsintheCappuccinoCity,/Shawarea,wherethecitysoncemostinfamousopen-airdrugmarkethasbecomeafarmers,a90percentblackneighborhoodjustafewdecadesago,,"darkghetto"hasbeenturnedintoa"gildedghetto".ToHyra,ithascausednotjustresidentialdisplacementforAfricanAmericansbutalsopoliticalandculturaldisplacement.

  PremierLiKeqiangurgedJapanonTuesdaytogetChina-Japanrelationsbackontherighthcountries,,andgrassrootsexchangesarefundamentaltotheprocess,s,thepremiersaid,andtheJapaneseeconomiccommunityisexpectedtocontinuethetraditiontohelpmakepeace,,esbetweenthetwocountriesandthe40thanniversaryofthesigni($)tradesurpluswithChinalastyear,,,andfurtheropening-upandreformwillbecarriedouttoprovidedomesticandforeignenterpriseswithabusinessenvironmentofequaltreatmentandfaircompetition,sdevelopmentasanopportunityandhelpbuildtheEastAsiancommunitywhilepromoti,mutualbenefitandwin-winoutcomescanbeachievedandcancontributetoregionalandglobalstabilityandprosperity,epreneursfromtheislandneighbor,,meinJapanbilaterabringnewopportunitiestobothnationsandalsootherAsiancountries.

  PARIS-BrigitteMacron,wifeofFrenchPresidentEmmanuelMacron,revealedthenameofthepandababy,thefirst-evercubborninthecountry,,BrigitteMacron,whoisalsothenewpandasgodmother,announcedthatthefour-month-oldcub,thebabypandahadbeencalledas"MiniYuanZi,"referringtohisfatherYuanZi,whoarrivedwithhisfemalepartnerHuanHuanincentralFrancesBeauvalzooinJanuary2012."YuanMengistheenergeticandvigorousfruitoftheFranco-Chinesefriendship,"saidMacron."YuanMengandhisparentsaretheillustrationofadialoguethathasalwaysbeenfruitfulbetweenourtwocountrieswho,forcenturies,havegotalongandunderstoodeachother,",,HuanHuangavebirthtotwincubs,,butabandonedthefirstafterthesecondcubwasborn,,femalepandasraiseonlyonecub,the"strongest",,ConservationofNature(IUCN).ActressLiuYifeiisphotographedbeforeattendingChristianDiorSpring/Summer2017fashionshowduringParisFashionWeek,March3,2017.[Photo/VCG]ChineseactressLiuYifeiissettostarasthetitularfemalewarriorinDisneyslive-actionadaptationoftheclassicChineseepic,,beatingnearly1,000hopefulsfortherole,dingrole,whichrequiresmasteryofmartialarts,abilitytospeakEng,whichhasbeencriticizedinthepastforcastingCaucasianactorsforAsianroles(Related:),focusedondiscoveringanethnicallyChineseyoungwomantoplayHuaMulan,whoimpersonatesherselfasamantotakeherailingfather,aprominentyoungstarinChinasentertainmentindustry,,havingspentsomeyearsofherchildhoodinQueens,NewYork,andagraduateofBeijingFilmAcademy,,includingTheForbiddenKingdom(2008)oppositeJackieChanandJetLiandOutcast(2014),,,,,voicedbyMing-NaWen,,earned$

  SheZiqing,asurvivoroftheNanjingMassacre,[Photo/Xinhua]SheZiqing,an83-year-oldsurvivoroftheNanjingMassacre,diedonWednesdayinNanjing,,borninApril1934,,,ShewastakentotheUnitedStatesembassyforrefuge,alongwithaneighbor,hesaidhesaw"layersofbodieseverywhereonthestreets"andhismother"diedlyinginapoolofblood"."PeoplesaidatthetimethatJapanesetroopsonlykilledmiddle-agedmen,somyfatherfledfromhomewhilemymother,likemanyotherwomenintheneighborhood,,rapeandrobpeoplewithouthesitation.",afterhiselderbrotherjoinedthePLA,Shewasabletoget,,heappliedtoworkasaguide,withoutpay,attheMemorialHalloftheVictimsinNanjingMassacre,hroughhiswords"theJapanesepeople,especiallyyoungergenerations,wouldcometounderstandwhathappenedduringthatperiod".Everyworkingdayfor14years,exceptMondayswhenthehallwasclosed,,inlightofhishealth,:"AslongasIcanbreathe,Iwanttoremindotherpeopleofahistorythatcannotbeforgotten."XiaShuqin,anotherNanjingMassacresurvivor,wholostsevenofherninefamilymembersduringthebloodbath,saidthatshewouldfeelrelievedandhappytobereunitedwithherdeceasedfamilymembersifthemassacreweresimplyrecognizedbytheJapanesegovernment."IdontknowifIwilllivelongenoughtoseethathappen,"the88-year-oldwomansaid."Itknowwhattosaytodescribemyfeelings."Morethan300,000Chinesewerekilledinasix-weekrampagefromDec13,1937toJanuary1938afterJapanesetroopscapturedwhatwasthenChinascapital.

  WhatwasbehindthedecisionbySamsungtoacquireHarmanBothcompanies,HarmanandSamsung,(tothepartnership).Samsungbringscarelectronics,semiconductortechnology,sensors,displays,,ifyoucombinethesetwo,youhavethesbusinessThisnewrelationshipisextremelypowerfulforallourautomakers,,andHarmanisamarkuctsandsolutionswit,S,willHarmanexpandfasterhereWehaveamandatefromSamsungtocontinueo(TechnologiesCoLtd)(Inc),andwewilljointlydev"firewalls"betweenthe,,whilecompetingwithAppleinthesmartphonemarket,,beenaroundfor70yearsandk,elligenceT,,ouraugmentedrealitysolutionenablesdriverstoreceivetipsonnavigationorwarningsofroadconditionsaheadonadisplayscreen.(Wecombinethiswith)"contextual"navigationalprompts,,,thiscanbecombinedwithothertec,orher,,,,sowhatisyourmanagementstrategyConsumerswantdifferentproductsthatmeetthedemandsofvariousscenariosincars,,eneedsofcustomersatevery,,ShanghaiAutomotiveIndustryCorporation(SAIC),BYD,BMWBrilliance(BMWJV),,wecanofferautomakersarangeofsolutionst,,,,allourbesttechnologies,whetherdevelopedinChinaorelsewhere,,ourspouse,ourfamilyhastobeveryunderstandingbecauseourjob,ourresponsibility,,"Imgoingtobehomeeveryeveningat5pm,",andsometimesforweeks,"purpose",:60Nationality:UnitedStatesCareer:2017:PresidentandCEOofHarmanInternationalIndustriesIncBefore2008:PresidentofABBGroup,presidentforABBglobalautomationdivisionandboardmemberofBristol-MyersSquibbandRaytheonEducation:MastersdegreeinengineeringfromtheIndianInstituteofTechnology(IITRoorkee).

  Thefamilyofa74-year-oldmanwhowasshotandkilledwhilegettinghistrashcanfromoutsidehisNashvillehomesharedthememoriesofthatfatefulday,,ahusbandandfatherwhohadretiredfromtheeducationbureauinChina,wasvisitinghissonsinceSeptemberwhenhewaskilledshortlybefore4pmonNov9alongClaiborneStreet."Thelocalpolicetoldmetheremightbefoursuspects,andtwosuspects-a15-year-oldgirlanda14-year-oldboy-werearrested,"saidWangYun,thevictim"AlthoughmyfathercouldnotspeakEnglish,hewasalwayssmiling,"saidWangYun."Idontunderstandwhysomeonewouldbesocrueltosuchaniceperson.""WhenIheardaboutshootingsinLasVegasandOrlando,Ifelttheyareveryfarawayfromme,butthatsnotthecase,",Zhailookedforherhusbandandranoutsidetofindhimnearsometreesacrossthestreet,about10metersfromhersonshome."Isawhimlyingthere,"Zhaisaid,usinghersonasatranslator."Hewasntbreathing.""MymotherandIcouldn,",andworkedasacomputerengineeratVanderbiltUniversityinNashville,Tennessee.BernardCharles,chiefexecutiveofficerofsoftwarecompanyDassaultSystemes.[Photo/VCG]Thebeautyofvirtualrealityisthatithelpsyouimagineabetterworldevenifyoudontknowhowtoachieveit,saystheheadofFrenchsoftwarefirmDassaultSystemesWhenBernardCharleslandsinBeijing,,hisChinese"contact",WeChata,includingaviation,andwasinvolvedinChinasfirsthomegrownlargepassengerjet,theC919,whichmadeitsmaidenflightinMay."Whenwesetupacollaborativeplatformtohelpdevelopthenext-generationcivilaircraftinthecountry,weworkedwithsuppliersfromEuropeancountriesandothernations,"Charlessaid."BymakingthemvisibletonewclientsinChina,wearebuildingavirtualbelttoconnectthemhere,",DassaultSystemesisbasedinVelizy-VillacoublayinthesouthwesternsuburbsofParisandhasamarketcapitalizationof$,,000andaclientlistwhichincludesChinasleadingaircraftmanufacturer,CommercialandAircraftCorpofChinaLtd,,theworld,thesoftwaregiantislookingtoincreaseitspresencehere."Wewanttobethecatalystandenablerof(helpingtotransform)manufacturing,",hewentontotalkaboutDassaultSystemesadeaspeechattheBoaoForumin2015,forusthatthedoor,globalizationbringschallengestotheworldbutitalsohelpsi,thewinnersarenotthosewithbigslicesofthemarket,ativ,itisquitedifficultforalotofFrenchsmall-andmedium-sizedenter,sfutureprospectsinChinaTheneedforthecountrytotransformthemanufacturing,wewanttobethebest"catalystandenabler"of(helpingto),,andmanufacturingprogramsinEuropeandtheUnitedStatesTheyal-,b,intermsofmanufacturing,atithelpsyouimagineabetterworldevenifyoudones,suchasenvironmentaldegradation,,onbases,,theworldistransportingmanythings,suchasrawmaterialsandwaste,everyday,,,wecanliftthemfivetimeslessinrealitybyusingVR(toscaneveryangleoftheproducts).ThatsavestimeandenergyespeciallyinChina,stechnologyisusedindifferentindustries,,itisnotonlyaboutwhatwecando,,butifweunderstandwhatisvaluable,andifwebelievewecandoitbetter,thenwehavetotry(tobethebest).Sinceyoutookover,DassaultSystemeshasgoneonabuyingspree,buthowdoyouintegratethosecompaniesintothegroupWearealwaysatadisadvantagecomparedtoourcompetitors,especiallythosefromtheUS,,welearnhowtodobusinessindifferentcountries,,ifyouwanttoconvincesomeonetobewithyou,-,,,ourcustomersareverystrong,yimportanttoacompany(tendto),,,suchasvisitingmuseums,:60Nationality:FrenchCareer:2016:vice-chairmanandCEOofDassaultSystemes1995:presidentandCEOofDassaultSystemes1988:promotedtopresidentofstrategy,researchanddevelopmentatDassaultSystemes1983::AgraduateoftheEcoleNormaleSuperieureengineeringschoolinCachanandaPhDinmechanicalengineering,:Marriedwithfivechildren

  

  与梦同行的女国防生,比花儿更美丽 -军报记者

 
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中国经济如何摆脱“新平庸”状态?

来源:新华网 作者:高连奎
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原标题:中国经济如何摆脱“新平庸”状态?
A-Long,aShenzhen-basedonlineillustrator,isfondofChina,hehascombinedthepandaimagewithvariousinternationallyrenownedpaintings,causinganinternetsensation.“oilpaintings,”,hehasbeenplanningtodothesecreativepaintingsforsometime,andisgladthatsomanypeoplelikehisstyle.“InotonlypayattentiontoChinesetraditionalpaintings,butwesternmasterpieces,andIwanttoshowthattheChinesepandanotonlymatcheswellwithChinesestyleelements,butstandsasapotentialimageforworldculture,”,let’scheckoutwhatitlookslikewhentheChinesepandastepsintotheworldoffamouspaintings.

  或许,只有先解决了政府债务危机,才可以真正的将经济走向正轨,也才能真正走出新平庸的经济状态。

  日前,国家统计局公布第三季度增长6.7%,这已经是连续第三个季度维持6.7%。中国9月规模以上工业企业利润年率增长7.7%。同时,另有数据显示,截至今年9月底,中国规模以上工业企业负债已较去年同期增长了4.7%,CPI上涨2%,这些数据谈不上好坏,只能用国际上比较流行一个词来形容,那就是“新平庸”状态。

  “新平庸”的概念来自国际货币基金组织。2014年,国际货币基金组织总裁拉加德首次以新平庸概括陷入低增长、低通胀、高失业和高负债中的世界经济。目前,中国经济除了不存在高失业之外,在其他几个方面基本相同。

  其实如果不能找出并解决当前经济的深层次矛盾,如果没有大刀阔斧的改革,经济不会出现根本性好转。我认为当前没有能很好展开变革,主要是因为三方面的错误,首先是对经济危机的本质分析错误,第二是对货币主义学派的效果认识错误,第三是对上世纪走出大萧条的原因理解错误。

  本次经济危机的本质是政府债务危机

  首先,我们看本次经济危机的本质,并非生产过剩危机,也不是金融泡沫危机,而是政府债务危机。华尔街金融危机源于美国小布什政府发动两场战争欠下巨债,不得不削减政府保障房支出。而这一策略则是由政府企业(两房)提供担保,最终由银行将穷人的贷款证券化,以金融衍生品的形式卖给全世界投资者,最终酿成次债危机。但最初的源头是政府欠债甩包袱,政府债务向民间转移的结果。

  美国虽然是金融危机的始作俑者,但各国政府债务高企已是不争事实。面对政府债务危机,目前人类还没有拿出解决债务危机的方案,甚至几乎没有学者进行这方面的研究。

  经济危机之后,货币学派的量化宽松政策受到广泛认可,但货币宽松能够拯救世界经济吗?实践证明不行,西方国家实现零利率一方面是让人们不要存钱,而是消费;另一方面也极大降低了企业财务成本扩大企业投资,但是在流动性陷阱的情况下,正作用不明显,副作用却很突出,最明显的结果是做金融普遍没有利润,甚至一些国家出现了购买债券还要倒贴钱的情况,甚至欧洲国家出现了银行破产。

  市场低利率将导致经济停滞化,因此在市场低利率环境下,金融资本变得非常廉价,金融资本无利可图,也就不会主动支持实体经济,因此市场低利率不但不会支持到实体经济,甚至会导致资本外流,这也是日本经济曾经的情况,因此货币学派的量化宽松不可能拯救世界经济。

  大萧条的成功突破源于财政改革

  第三,大众对上世纪拯救大萧条的成功经验理解有错误。人们往往将罗斯福新政的成功归因于凯恩斯主义,但据我分析,美国走出大萧条,并不完全是靠凯恩斯主义所主张的赤字投资政策,而是因为罗斯福重构了美国财税体系,这是凯恩斯主义的要义中所不具备的。

  比如现在维持美国财政收入的第一大税种个人所得税,和第二大税种社会保障税都是罗斯福新政时建立的。在大萧条之前,个人所得税在美国只是少数人才交,可以忽略不计。罗斯福新政后,个人所得税成为美国第一大税种。在大萧条之前,美国没有社会保障税,大萧条后社会保障税成为美国第二大税种。有了这两大税收做基础,美国政府才有充足的财政进行财政投资,而且美国现在的财政体系仍然是罗斯福新政时期奠定的。凯恩斯主义只能拯救小萧条,拯救不了大萧条,大萧条要靠财政改革。

  经济危机爆发后,世界各国采取了不同的拯救方案,总结起来无非是三个经济学派的主张——货币学派、凯恩斯主义学派和奥地利学派。美国采用的是货币学派的量化宽松政策,欧洲先是采取奥地利学派的财政紧缩政策,后转向量化宽松政策,中国先是实行凯恩斯主义经济政策,后又转向奥地利学派的货币紧缩。

  然而,目前来看,无论哪种学派对解决经济危机都不是最优办法,而且对于政府债务危机这一根本性问题,没有一个学派提出主张。如果经济学界对政府债务问题视而不见,那必将导致经济危机长期化,世界经济很难重启增长。因此我们必须提出新财税改革方案才能拯救经济危机,帮助世界各国走出债务泥潭。

  当今世界的主要国家无一例外面临政府债务问题,这绝不是哪个国家的偶然经济政策失误所致,他们是具有共性的。因此,在解决这些问题时也只需一个共同方法,而且需要一次像罗斯福新政一样力度的全面财税改革,这也是笔者一直研究新财税主义的原因所在。

  经济危机因财税不能满足经济发展

  “新财税主义”认为,一个国家的财税水平必须与该国经济发展水平相适宜,随着国家经济发展水平的提高,税收必然会呈现不断升高的趋势。政府必须不断改革国家的财税制度、财税种类与征收方式,来适应经济发展水平的提高与财政支出的加大。

  因为一个国家的经济发展水平越高、社会分工越细,人民对政府服务的需求就会越多,越需要高水平的社会福利、学校教育和医疗水平。回顾历史,第一次工业革命后,在频繁的经济危机和工人运动的逼迫下,人类建立了社会保障体系;第二次工业革命后,人类建立了社会福利体系——财政税收都相应进行了大幅提高。

  反观此次经济危机,“新财税主义”认为,这是国家的财税水平满足不了国家经济发展水平的结果。本轮经济危机以债务危机为核心,其根源正是在于上世纪美国总统里根开启的“减税风潮”。因此,如果再以此解决经济危机,继续减税、增加赤字,政府将面临巨大的利息支出,最终每年的新增财政收入只能用于还利息,而不能用于经济建设,政府财政会陷入“以债还债”的恶性循环中。所以,减税只能是阶段性政策,不适合中国与世界。

  “新财税主义”中提出了五条结构性调税的政策建议,兼具可行性与创新性:增加享受型产品和奢侈型产品的税收,降低生存必需品税收;增加成熟工业品税收,适当降低高科技产品税收;增加机器密集型产品税收,降低劳动密集型产品税收;增加专项服务收费,降低企业增值税和所得税等公共税收;个人所得税地方化,降低个人所得税税率,增加纳税群体。

  或许,只有先解决了政府债务危机,经济才可以真正走向正轨,也才能真正走出新平庸状态。(高连奎)

star.news.sohu.com false 新华网 http://news.xinhuanet.com.wucaipiaooq68.cn/fortune/2016-11/07/c_1119859847.htm report 2819 或许,只有先解决了政府债务危机,才可以真正的将经济走向正轨,也才能真正走出新平庸的经济状态。日前,国家统计局公布第三季度增长6.7%,这已经是连续第三个季度维持
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